Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.026181 0.028303 0.030426 0.032708 0.035086 0.037489 0.040097
2025-08-03 0.022872 0.026309 0.029868 0.033812 0.038043 0.042433 0.047315
2025-08-10 0.019785 0.023969 0.028423 0.033479 0.039024 0.044887 0.051524
2025-08-17 0.017377 0.022056 0.027160 0.033075 0.039680 0.046773 0.054912
2025-08-24 0.015473 0.020513 0.026135 0.032771 0.040298 0.048488 0.057993
2025-08-31 0.013846 0.019147 0.025188 0.032441 0.040785 0.049970 0.060736
2025-09-07 0.012540 0.018057 0.024470 0.032292 0.041404 0.051539 0.063522
2025-09-14 0.011134 0.016744 0.023407 0.031665 0.041411 0.052361 0.065418
2025-09-21 0.009855 0.015502 0.022356 0.030986 0.041298 0.052998 0.067061
2025-09-28 0.008680 0.014313 0.021302 0.030245 0.041063 0.053452 0.068457
2025-10-05 0.008366 0.014223 0.021595 0.031120 0.042730 0.056102 0.072372
2025-10-12 0.007853 0.013833 0.021480 0.031475 0.043757 0.057994 0.075402
2025-10-19 0.007110 0.013143 0.021030 0.031490 0.044483 0.059665 0.078346
2025-10-26 0.006769 0.013012 0.021316 0.032455 0.046407 0.062806 0.083082
2025-11-02 0.005966 0.012157 0.020603 0.032119 0.046709 0.064005 0.085528
2025-11-09 0.005226 0.011328 0.019876 0.031724 0.046907 0.065053 0.087775
2025-11-16 0.004593 0.010606 0.019252 0.031427 0.047199 0.066192 0.090115
2025-11-23 0.004017 0.009918 0.018634 0.031105 0.047433 0.067242 0.092332
2025-11-30 0.003549 0.009359 0.018168 0.030959 0.047870 0.068525 0.094817
2025-12-07 0.003005 0.008610 0.017383 0.030348 0.047684 0.069023 0.096340
2025-12-14 0.002508 0.007882 0.016586 0.029685 0.047404 0.069382 0.097677
2025-12-21 0.002057 0.007172 0.015771 0.028963 0.047017 0.069587 0.098810
2025-12-28 0.001974 0.007185 0.016076 0.029816 0.048708 0.072395 0.103129